Weekend forecast

Weekend forecast *Heavy rainfall likely tomorrow. ⛈️
*1.00 - 2.50 inches of rain possible. ☔️
*Highest amounts will be near the coast. From Space City Weather :Houston's delightful weather will give way to a bit of rain this weekend. Matt Lanza · Friday, November 13, 2026 6:00 AM👉 IN BRIEF: *Houston may be turning the corner in terms of rainfall as winter approaches.
*Another storm system this weekend is likely to douse much of the area with a fair bit of rain Sunday, and more may be on the horizon.
*Along with the rain, some chilly weather too.👉 TURNING THE RAINFALL CORNER?*While the weather is truly lovely at present, we have seen some rain this week, and we are likely to see more this weekend. So, are we turning a corner? The answer is maybe. *We can assess this by looking at the forecast of accumlated precipitation over the next couple weeks from the 51 member European ensemble model.*You can see a couple things. First, almost all of the ensemble members are forecasting a good bit of rain in Houston this weekend.
*Yes, you have a couple that show 0.5 to 0.8″ only, but most settle in at over an inch, with many close to 2 inches.
*But beyond that, there are a good number of ensemble members that bring in another shot of rain later next week and some that include more rain late next weekend or early on Thanksgiving week.
*I recall a few comments from folks lambasting the hype over the El Niño as providing false hope for rain.
*While we may not be getting soaked constantly this winter, we will likely get our share of storms and rain and hopefully push out drought once again.👉 SATURDAY -*Today should start out lovely once again, with lows in the 50s.
*As the day progresses, it will turn cloudy, however.
*Highs should only make the mid 60s because of that, and we will pick up a bit of an east wind around 10 to 20 mph.👉 SUNDAY -*The weather gets more interesting on Sunday.
*As an upper level storm system digs into the Texas Panhandle, it will help fire up rain and thunderstorms out ahead of it across interior Texas.
*By later Sunday morning, those storms will be knocking on the doorstep of the Houston area.
*As this system moves through, a pretty potent little surface low pressure system is going to develop off the coast.*This means periods of rain, heavy at times on Sunday, along with thunderstorms.
*While we do not expect much severe weather, some storms near the coast could be on the stronger side with gusty winds.
*Those areas are highlighted in a marginal severe weather risk as well (level 1/5).
*Regardless, it seems likely that Galveston Island may see 30 to 35 mph gusts late Sunday into Monday behind the storm and front.
*Expect Sunday to be a rather nasty day.👉 How much rain falls, and is it worse in the morning or afternoon? *Right now it seems like the entire area will see 0.5 to 2.5 inches of rain, with highest amounts near the coast.
*This could change. I expect Eric will chime in with an update for the latest on this storm and to see if we need to push out a Stage 1 flood alert.👉 EARLY NEXT WEEK -*As the storm passes east of the area on Monday, clouds and some showers may be left behind, along with a cool northeast wind.
*We may struggle to get above 60 degrees Monday, with temps in the mid to upper 50s most of the day.
*Things should clear a bit on Tuesday, allowing for sunshine and a return to 60s.👉 LATER NEXT WEEK -*Additional rounds of rain are possible later next week along with more cloud cover.
*Temperatures should rebound some into the 70s, along with a bit more humidity.
*A relatively active weather pattern seems to be settling in across the Southern U.S., typical for strong El Niño late autumns.