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Weekend forecast

Weekend forecast
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StormChaser Top Forum Contributor19.4 yrs
~ 10 mos ago   Nov 21, '25 8:39am  
Weekend forecast
 
Weekend forecast plus Thanksgiving week.
 
From Space City Weather -
 
In brief:
 
*A cool front today will bring a smattering of showers or a few thunderstorms to Houston, followed by continued warm but slightly less warm weather this weekend.
*A much stronger front aims at us for late Monday or early Tuesday, ushering in what we hope will be a spectacular Thanksgiving Day.
 
Good morning! Hang on one second, I think Josh Allen just got sacked again. Yep. Can confirm.
 
FRIDAY (TODAY)
 
As a meteorologist, you'd think we'd like good forecasting challenges. And most of us do. However, the story of the disturbance today has been rather maddening.
 
Maybe it's because we went from 2 to 4 inches of rain forecast earlier this week to NyQuil dose accumulations. Capital N, little y…. There is an expression in meteorology "When in drought, keep it out," meaning rainfall chances.
 
A lot of times modeling can get overzealous with rain risks in drought-y patterns. There's a persistence to that kind of pattern. That said, we're already also seeing some forecast "nudges" next week now too. But clearly models are struggling to handle this pattern in the lower latitudes over North America right now.
 
Anyway, here's how today should unfold:
 
*Radar is mainly quiet for now with a couple showers up near Navasota and Huntsville.
*Scattered showers and a couple embedded thunderstorms will develop late this afternoon or early this evening across the area, probably near a Cleveland-Cypress-Wharton line.
*They will slowly crawl south and east overnight, perhaps lingering near coastal areas or down toward Freeport and Lake Jackson on Saturday morning.
*Rain totals will be quite erratic with some places seeing perhaps 1 to 2 inches of rain while most languish at a quarter inch or less.
 
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THE WEEKEND:
 
*This weekend looks fairly benign. I don't want to say we won't see any rain at all; we could see lingering showers near the coast on Saturday and an isolated rogue shower, especially north and west of Houston on Sunday.
*Overall, any disruption to your plans should be minimal.
*Look for 80s on Saturday and around 80 or so on Sunday.
*Slightly cooler air filters in Saturday night so morning lows may be in the low 60s or even some upper-50s in outlying areas Sunday morning.
 
MONDAY & TUESDAY -
 
*Things change more substantially early next week.
*A legitimate cold front is still on track to push through the area on late Monday or early Tuesday.
*We do expect more numerous or widespread showers and thunderstorms with this front compared to what we see today.
*That said, the forecast is by no means set in stone.
 
We'll reassess and update Sunday or, of course, Monday.
 
Either way, look for a drop off in temperatures behind the front.
 
WEDNESDAY -
 
Good weather for travel it would appear!
 
*We kick off the holiday weekend with cooler temperatures, as highs will only be in the upper 60s to low 70s after morning lows in the 50s.
*Wednesday does look breezy as well, so just note that, particularly if your early holiday weekend plans include a boat.
 
THANKSGIVING DAY (THURS) -
 
*Houston isn't exactly known for nice weather on holidays. We lean on gallows humor to get through them. However, it looks spectacular on Thanksgiving as it stands right now.
*Morning lows should be in the 40s and 50s, so dress appropriately for one of the many turkey trots around the area. I will say, overnight modeling is trying to back off on low temps - again.
 
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*Highs will be in the 60s Friday.
*The rest of the weekend looked good as of yesterday but this morning the European model is trying up rainfall chances a bit. I'll remain skeptical for now.
 
Enjoy the weekend!
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