Wed forecast plus tropics update
Wed forecast plus tropics update
Wed forecast plus tropics update Typical August weather continues for Houston as Atlantic tropics continue to wake up. Eric Berger · Wednesday, August 13, 2025 6:53 AM In brief:
*Parts of central Houston saw some fairly strong showers and thunderstorms on Tuesday, with a few isolated areas picking up 1 inch, or more, of rain. That pattern of sporadic afternoon storms should occur through Saturday before high pressure asserts a little more control.
*We also discuss the chances of a tropical system forming in the southern Gulf late this week. Wednesday - *The overall story remains the same for Houston's weather in the coming days, with hot weather and just enough instability and moisture to support the possibility of scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms.
*These storms are most likely during the afternoon and evening hours, at a time when kids are coming home from school, participating in after-school activities, or during the evening commute.
*Today, however, I expect slightly less coverage than we saw on Tuesday. Overall I would say there is about a 30 percent chance of showers, with isolated storms.
*Highs today will range from the lower 90s near the coast to the upper 90s inland, with plenty of humidity. The tropics come alive - *In the Atlantic Tropical Storm Erin continues to struggle with the intrusion of some drier air, but should soon move into more favorable conditions.
*A hurricane is likely to form later this week, or this weekend. The majority of modeling still shows the system turning before threatening the United States, but Bermuda is definitely at risk. 
🌀Additionally the National Hurricane Center is tracking a low pressure system that should emerge into the Bay of Campeche on Thursday or so.
🌀There is a slight chance of some development over the southern Gulf, and you always want to keep an eye on anything in that region in August.
🌀However, none of the models are particularly excited about this tropical low, and the atmospheric conditions are not super supportive.
🌀So, at this point, the most likely scenario is that the low has minimal to no impact on our weather. We'll see. 
peppermintstick, AHaynes and golfshot + 2 more reacted*Parts of central Houston saw some fairly strong showers and thunderstorms on Tuesday, with a few isolated areas picking up 1 inch, or more, of rain. That pattern of sporadic afternoon storms should occur through Saturday before high pressure asserts a little more control.
*We also discuss the chances of a tropical system forming in the southern Gulf late this week.
*These storms are most likely during the afternoon and evening hours, at a time when kids are coming home from school, participating in after-school activities, or during the evening commute.
*Today, however, I expect slightly less coverage than we saw on Tuesday. Overall I would say there is about a 30 percent chance of showers, with isolated storms.
*Highs today will range from the lower 90s near the coast to the upper 90s inland, with plenty of humidity.
*A hurricane is likely to form later this week, or this weekend. The majority of modeling still shows the system turning before threatening the United States, but Bermuda is definitely at risk.
🌀There is a slight chance of some development over the southern Gulf, and you always want to keep an eye on anything in that region in August.
🌀However, none of the models are particularly excited about this tropical low, and the atmospheric conditions are not super supportive.
🌀So, at this point, the most likely scenario is that the low has minimal to no impact on our weather.
The National Hurricane Center has raised the odds of a tropical depression or storm forming in the Southern Gulf during the next day or two. This post seeks to quell any fears this may cause Texas residents. In the greater Houston area we can expect elevated rain chances on Friday and Saturday, but nothing extreme. spacecityweather.com /odds-increasing-for -a-tropical-storm-to -form-in-the-gu
StormChaser : I saw that ....40% now. Please, just give us some rain relief.
Hurricane Erin looks massive on forecast....good thing it should turn north
v1kings28 : Yup - forecast to be a cat 4 now. « Back to Chat
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