SCW Saturday update
SCW Saturday update
SCW Saturday update Looks like Memorial Day won't be a total washout. From Space City Weather - Storms likely on Saturday, possibly severe, but we have some hope for clearing weather by Memorial Day. Eric Berger · Saturday, May 23, 2026 5:58 AM In brief: *Storms are rumbling through Houston during the pre-dawn hours on Saturday, and this is the first of a handful of disturbances we can expect this weekend.
*Rain chances are a bit lower on Sunday, and we are hopeful that by Memorial Day we'll see a fair bit of sunshine. *Like some of you, I imagine, I was awoken before 5 am by storms rumbling into the Houston area from the west.
*This pre-sunrise activity is the first of a series of disturbances expected to propagate across the region over the next 24 to 36 hours.
*We still have some uncertainty about the timing for heaviest rainfall, but I am increasingly hopeful that we will see improving conditions by Memorial Day.
*Thus, if you were hoping to have a pool day, or a beach day, or otherwise celebrate the holiday outdoors in hopes of a little sunshine, all is not lost. But first, we have some storms to deal with. *The current area of showers and thunderstorms is producing fairly heavy rainfall, and there is also the threat of some severe weather, including small hail and damaging wind gusts.
👉The period between now (5:45 am) and around 9 or 10 am this morning should be treated with caution due to the potential for severe weather as well as pockets of heavy rainfall (we've seen rainfall rates of 2 to 3 inches). So what happens after this round of storms? *I think we'll see a break in activity from the mid-morning to the early afternoon hours.
*Then, as the atmosphere has time to recharge and we experience daytime heating, another disturbance will approach from the southwest.
*This will likely spread into Houston during the afternoon or evening hours.
*Whether it is intense as the storms this morning is not entirely clear-the atmosphere may still be a bit worked over.
*Some of our high resolution modeling indicates these storms will be strongest along and south of Interstate 10.
*We are likely to see more disturbances on Sunday, although timing them is difficult, and it's not clear how strong they will be.
*Anyway, expect a healthy rain chance in the vicinity of 60 or 70 percent.
*By later on Sunday we may be able to lift our Stage 2 flood alert, which is indicative of the waning potential for street flooding and flash flooding.
*In contrast to the first part of the holiday weekend, we now think there's a decent chance of partly sunny (maybe mostly sunny) skies on Memorial Day, with rain chances at or below 50 percent.
*In other words, most of the day should be fine to celebrate outdoors.
*Highs will likely be in the vicinity of the mid-80s on Monday, so fairly warm but not in any meaningful way will it be hot. If the storms this evening look to become fairly strong, we'll be back with a short update this afternoon. If not, we'll see you on Sunday morning. Current radar 610AM - 
cbear, buffaloglenn and MomWifeLife reacted*Rain chances are a bit lower on Sunday, and we are hopeful that by Memorial Day we'll see a fair bit of sunshine.
*This pre-sunrise activity is the first of a series of disturbances expected to propagate across the region over the next 24 to 36 hours.
*We still have some uncertainty about the timing for heaviest rainfall, but I am increasingly hopeful that we will see improving conditions by Memorial Day.
*Thus, if you were hoping to have a pool day, or a beach day, or otherwise celebrate the holiday outdoors in hopes of a little sunshine, all is not lost.
👉The period between now (5:45 am) and around 9 or 10 am this morning should be treated with caution due to the potential for severe weather as well as pockets of heavy rainfall (we've seen rainfall rates of 2 to 3 inches).
*Then, as the atmosphere has time to recharge and we experience daytime heating, another disturbance will approach from the southwest.
*This will likely spread into Houston during the afternoon or evening hours.
*Whether it is intense as the storms this morning is not entirely clear-the atmosphere may still be a bit worked over.
*Some of our high resolution modeling indicates these storms will be strongest along and south of Interstate 10.
*We are likely to see more disturbances on Sunday, although timing them is difficult, and it's not clear how strong they will be.
*Anyway, expect a healthy rain chance in the vicinity of 60 or 70 percent.
*By later on Sunday we may be able to lift our Stage 2 flood alert, which is indicative of the waning potential for street flooding and flash flooding.
*In contrast to the first part of the holiday weekend, we now think there's a decent chance of partly sunny (maybe mostly sunny) skies on Memorial Day, with rain chances at or below 50 percent.
*In other words, most of the day should be fine to celebrate outdoors.
*Highs will likely be in the vicinity of the mid-80s on Monday, so fairly warm but not in any meaningful way will it be hot.