This week's forecast

This week's forecast After Sunday night's storms, calmer weather to prevail this week in Houston. Eric Berger · Monday, May 11, 2026 6:52 AMIn brief: *As Houston's weather turns calmer on Monday, we take a brief look at what to expect when the Atlantic hurricane season 🌀 kicks off in three weeks.
*We also look ahead to mostly sunny skies and hotter temperatures later this week in Houston. The weekend looks fine.Storms pass, check your calendar -*Showers and thunderstorms in association with a front moved through the Houston region overnight, lighting up the sky with thunder and lightning.
*Rainfall amounts varied widely across the region, with some locations picking up 1 to 2 inches of rainfall and others virtually nothing.
*The bulk of this activity is now nearly all offshore, although there may be some lingering showers today, especially for areas south of Interstate 10 in Houston.🌀Also, of note, we are now three weeks from the beginning of the Atlantic hurricane season.
🌀We are going to have our official preview later this month, but this morning our companion website, The Eyewall, digs in to the data this morning and looks at what a strong-ish El Niño would mean for Atlantic hurricane season.
🌀One concern is that waters in the Gulf of Mexico, heading toward the start of this season, are significantly warmer than normal.
🌀🌀This may offset some of the dampening effect that El Niño would otherwise have. 🌀StormChaser opinion ----》
*Early season: June-July timeline - like 2024/Beryl setup - will bear some watching.MONDAY -*The vast majority of showers associated with the cool front have now moved offshore, and for inland areas this probably is the end of rainfall for today.
*However, for coastal areas a chance of showers will linger for much of today, even as skies turn partly sunny.
*Highs will likely reach the mid-80s this afternoon.
*Winds will be from the north, at 5 to 10 mph.
*This should allow temperatures to fall into the upper 60s tonight outside of the urban core of Houston, which will be a touch warmer.
*This is not "cold" weather by any means, but as we get deeper into May fronts become more scarce.
*As fronts become weaker they are best enjoyed outdoors during the morning and evening hours.TUESDAY -*This will be a mostly sunny day with moderately drier air.
*Expect highs in the mid-80s and light northeasterly winds.
*Temperatures on Tuesday night will be a bit warmer.WEDNESDAY, THURSDAY, and FRIDAY -*High pressure will build somewhat during the second half of the week, leading to partly to mostly sunny weather with warm temperatures in the upper 80s to 90 degrees.
*Humidity rebounds as well.
*Overnight lows will only drop into the lower 70s in Houston.
*This is not summer yet, but we're approaching its outskirts.SATURDAY and SUNDAY -*We may start to see some more cloud cover this weekend (not sure), but high temperatures should still solidly remain in the upper 80s.
*Lows will remain muggy, likely increasing to the mid-70s.
*After Monday, Houston's rain chances will be near zero this week, but they may start to creep back up by Sunday afternoon or evening.
*Anyway, most outdoor activities should be fine this weekend if you're prepared to sweat.NEXT WEEK -Most likely Houston will remain on the warm and muggy side next week, with the change being that rain chances likely return at some point.