Thursday forecast
Thursday forecast
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Thursday forecast โ๏ธ Our Thursday forecast plus a look at the rest of the week.
๐ An overview of the updated 2025 hurricane forecast by CSU and what it means. .......................... From Space City Weather - Fewer showers today and Friday, with more sunshine. Also, an updated hurricane season outlook. Eric Berger ยท Thursday, July 10, 2025 6:26 AM In brief:
*In today's post, we discuss lower rain chances for the rest of the work week, before an uptick this weekend.
*Also, we take a deeper look at an updated forecast for the remainder of the Atlantic hurricane season, which has had a sneakily impactful start. THURSDAY and FRIDAY - *Unlike the last couple of days, we are not seeing much shower activity offshore this morning.
*This is partly because the level of moisture in the atmosphere is a little bit lower. This should lead to fewer clouds today and Friday, along with less coverage of showers and thunderstorms.
*Overall rain chances today are probably about 30 percent, however where there is rain it could be briefly intense, as there is still the potential for isolated strong storms.
*We will see more sunshine so the Houston area can expect temperatures to rise into the low to mid 90s. (a little bit warmer than the last couple of days)
*Winds will be from the south, and may be a bit gusty on Friday afternoon. SATURDAY and SUNDAY - *Slightly higher moisture levels, in addition to a more supportive atmosphere, will lead to increased rain chances this weekend.
*I'd put chances at about 60 percent for both days.
*Overall accumulations for most locations will probably be in the low tenths of an inch, but we could see a few bullseyes of 1 inch or more.
*With a few more clouds, we can probably expect high temperatures for most locations to top out in the lower 90s. It will still be plenty humid with muggy nights. NEXT WEEK - *Some rain chances will probably linger into early next week, but then I expect mostly sunny conditions for most of next week.
*High temperatures in the mid to upper 90s are likely, but I would not lock them in quite yet.
*Regardless, I do think it's going to feel close to full-on summer out there for Houston so steel thyselves.
2025 ATLANTIC HURRICANE SEASON ๐ *So far this Atlantic hurricane season has been a non-event for the greater Houston area. However two of the storms that have developed this season have created significant impacts elsewhere.
*Most everyone reading this is familiar with the catastrophic flooding in the Texas Hill Country last weekend. This was driven by the remnants of Tropical Storm Barry, which made landfall near Tampico, Mexico and then wandered around before stalling over Texas.
*Then, Tropical Storm Chantal made landfall in South Carolina on July 6, and brought record flooding to parts of North Carolina a few days ago.
*Therefore, while we have not had any hurricanes yet (which is normal) this has been an impactful season overall so far. *On Wednesday, forecasters at Colorado State University released an updated forecast for the 2025 season, and they slightly lowered their total of named storms (17 to 16) and hurricanes (9 to 8) as part of this update. "The primary reason for the slight decrease in the outlook is both observed and predicted high levels of Caribbean shear," the forecasters stated. "High levels of Caribbean shear in June/July are typically associated with less active hurricane seasons."
*While this ostensibly good news, we have already seen in the last 10 days that even relatively weak tropical systems can cause significant problems, both in terms of damage and loss of life.
*Given the overall accuracy of seasonal forecasts, a slight modification like this is more or less "in the noise."
*The reality is that, for Houston, prime time for hurricane season will come in August and September, so we are still in the very early innings. spacecityweather.com /fewer-showers-today -and-friday-with-mor e-sunshine-also
๐ An overview of the updated 2025 hurricane forecast by CSU and what it means.
*In today's post, we discuss lower rain chances for the rest of the work week, before an uptick this weekend.
*Also, we take a deeper look at an updated forecast for the remainder of the Atlantic hurricane season, which has had a sneakily impactful start.
*This is partly because the level of moisture in the atmosphere is a little bit lower. This should lead to fewer clouds today and Friday, along with less coverage of showers and thunderstorms.
*Overall rain chances today are probably about 30 percent, however where there is rain it could be briefly intense, as there is still the potential for isolated strong storms.
*We will see more sunshine so the Houston area can expect temperatures to rise into the low to mid 90s. (a little bit warmer than the last couple of days)
*Winds will be from the south, and may be a bit gusty on Friday afternoon.
*I'd put chances at about 60 percent for both days.
*Overall accumulations for most locations will probably be in the low tenths of an inch, but we could see a few bullseyes of 1 inch or more.
*With a few more clouds, we can probably expect high temperatures for most locations to top out in the lower 90s. It will still be plenty humid with muggy nights.
*High temperatures in the mid to upper 90s are likely, but I would not lock them in quite yet.
*Regardless, I do think it's going to feel close to full-on summer out there for Houston so steel thyselves.

*Most everyone reading this is familiar with the catastrophic flooding in the Texas Hill Country last weekend. This was driven by the remnants of Tropical Storm Barry, which made landfall near Tampico, Mexico and then wandered around before stalling over Texas.
*Then, Tropical Storm Chantal made landfall in South Carolina on July 6, and brought record flooding to parts of North Carolina a few days ago.
*Therefore, while we have not had any hurricanes yet (which is normal) this has been an impactful season overall so far.

*Given the overall accuracy of seasonal forecasts, a slight modification like this is more or less "in the noise."
*The reality is that, for Houston, prime time for hurricane season will come in August and September, so we are still in the very early innings.

