Important Space City update

Important Space City update 5pm FRI BOTTOM LINE: Get Prepared Now. 🌀 ❗ Threat to the upper Texas coast, including Houston region, increasing as Beryl nears Gulf of Mexico July 5, 2024 at 5:06 pm by Eric Berger In brief: *There have been unexpected, and significant changes in the forecast for Tropical Storm Beryl over the last 24 hours. *The implications for Houston early next week range from relatively mild to fairly impactful, and we've tried to set some expectations in this update. *Expect much more from us this weekend as the Houston area now needs to pay closer attention to Beryl. Houston and Beryl, my how things have changed *Over the last couple of days it seemed like it was within the realm of possibility that Houston might see some direct impacts from Hurricane Beryl, but it was a low-end probability. We wrote as much, and felt as much but over the last 12 to 24 hours the models have undergone a dramatic shift. *Beryl has tracked more north than anticipated, with these subtle changes now having a greater impact downstream. *The trends have been universally bad for the upper Texas coast. *Just so you can appreciate this change, here is the shift in what is considered the best global model in the world, the ECMWF, and its forecast for Beryl's landfall. *The first image shows the model's output at 7pm CT on Thursday, and the other one from 1 pm CT Friday, just 18 hours later. *The point here is that the models are still struggling with Hurricane Beryl, even though we are only three days from a final landfall. *What once looked like a reasonably confident forecast has now been tossed out of the window. *So I want to be clear that what we're writing now is our best sense of how things will play out, but don't be surprised if there are further changes. *The greater Houston region is now at a significantly greater risk than things looked just a day ago. READ THE REST HERE. TOO MUCH TO POST ON KDC. spacecityweather.com /threat-to-the-upper -texas-coast-includi ng-houston-regi