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Weekend forecast + July 4th & Saharan dust.

Weekend forecast + July 4th & Saharan dust.
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StormChaser 19.5 yrs
~ 2 years, 4 mos ago   Jun 28, '24 7:43am  
Weekend forecast + July 4th & Saharan dust.
 
Hazy, Hot, And Humid Weather Offers Us A Taste Of High Summer In Houston.
 
Matt Lanza · Friday, June 28, 2024 7:16 AM
 
In brief:
-The main story over the next week will be heat, with high to periodically extreme conditions for the Houston area.
-Shower and storm chances will diminish but probably never get to zero.
-Saharan dust should show up this weekend before declining.
-The tropics are busy with stuff to watch but no serious concerns for us at this moment.
 
TODAY THROUGH SUNDAY:
 
*As high pressure begins to expand over Texas, somewhat reminiscent of what happened last summer, the spigot should temporarily shut off here in Houston.
*We can't rule out an isolated shower in the area, but the coverage of rain is going to diminish.
 
🔥 The main story through the weekend will be heat.
 
🔥 Heat advisories are in effect today and will likely be in effect tomorrow as well.
🔥 Highs will be well into the 90s to near 100 in spots and morning lows will be around 80 degrees.
 
SAHARAN DUST:
 
*Sunday will be interesting as a plume of Saharan dust arrives in Texas.
*We'll see hazy skies which won't help a ton with the temperature, but it may lead to a slight decrease in how bad it feels outside.
*Here's the wet bulb globe temperature (WBGT) outlook for the next week, and you can see the slight dip on Sunday from "extreme" levels to "high" levels:
 
Loading Image...
 
*Remember, WBGT is a good, objective measure of how intense the combination of heat, humidity, wind, sun, and more is on the human body.
*Extreme levels, which we frequently hit last summer, indicate heat where everyone should take precautions, even hardy Houstonians.
 
High levels are more typical in Houston throughout summer. So, just take it easy this weekend.
 

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NEXT WEEK:
 
*The forecast is somewhat on autopilot for most of next week.
*High pressure should stay intact, centered to our north or northeast most of the week, keeping us plenty hot, but never sending rain chances to zero. (They will be quite low on several days though.)
*Expect highs in the upper 90s to near 100 degrees with lows in the 70s to near 80 degrees; a very "high summer" feel for early July.
 

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FOURTH OF JULY 🎆❤️🤍💙
 
At this point, it would seem that most plans should be good to go.
 
❤️ We can't rule out a shower, of course, but anything severely disruptive seems unlikely.
🤍 Make sure you're hydrated (with water) and able to cool off.
💙 Evening festivities will probably see temperatures drop from the 90s into the upper-80s.
❤️ Call it about a 10 percent chance of a shower or storm right now, but we encourage you to check back Monday for the latest.
 

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TROPICS 🌀
 
🌀 We continue to monitor Invest 95L, which is almost certainly going to become a depression or tropical storm by the end of the weekend.
🌀 We have daily updates at The Eyewall, our companion site, and we will continue to provide those all weekend:
 
The Eyewall:
theeyewall.com
 
Loading Image...
 
🌀 For now, we expect this to be a concern for the Lesser Antilles before it gets disrupted by land or the usual shenanigans present in the eastern Caribbean in early July.
🌀 From there, all bets are off - but a general west or slightly north of west motion should continue toward Central America or the Yucatan.
🌀 It is not a serious concern for us in Houston right now, but we'll be watching it closely to see if anything changes.
 
🌀 The other system moving into the Bay of Campeche this weekend (Invest 94L) will move into Mexico with no impacts for us in Houston or Texas.
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Gammyof2 8.5 yrs
~ 2 years, 4 mos ago   Jun 28, '24 7:46am  
StormChaser : so that's why my allergies are kicking my butt. Stupid dust. As always, thank you for the update. I do not watch the weather on TV, I trust you more than them.
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Txbutterfly Top Forum Contributor15.5 yrs
~ 2 years, 4 mos ago   Jun 28, '24 7:48am  
StormChaser : not to rub it in, but today's high is mid 70s here in NYC 😀 I'll be home in time to enjoy the super sweat next week.
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peppermintstick 8.6 yrs
~ 2 years, 4 mos ago   Jun 28, '24 9:54am  
Txbutterfly :
Your temperature sounds nice. Bring it back with you please. 😅
Enjoy it while you can.
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