Thursday's forecast change
Thursday's forecast change
Thursday's forecast change Surprise! There could be a few unexpected storms today. Eric Berger · Thursday, July 3, 2025 6:55 AM In brief:
*A passing shortwave will bring a decent chance of showers, and possibly a few thunderstorms on Thursday.
*However we expect dry weather for fireworks on the Fourth of July, and most of the weekend should be rain-free.
*Temperatures look to remain hot for awhile, as is expected during July. A shortwave surprise
One thing about meteorology is that it always keeps you on your toes. For several days now we've been predicting that high pressure would largely keep rain chances at bay during the second half of this week. Now it turns out that high won't be quite strong enough to keep an atmospheric disturbance, known as a shortwave trough, from sliding into the region today. It is unlikely to bring widespread showers and thunderstorms, but there should at least be some scattered activity this afternoon, and a few showers on the Fourth of July as well. I still don't anticipate any impacts on fireworks, however. THURSDAY - *The radar is quiet right now, but later this morning we are likely to see some showers develop to the west of the region.
*These should progress toward Houston during the middle of the day, bringing scattered showers and thunderstorms into the area this afternoon.
*Overall, your chance of seeing precipitation is probably about one-in-three.
*Skies, otherwise, will be partly sunny with high temperatures in the mid-90s.
*Winds will be light, from the south at about 5 mph.
*Rain chances die off tonight, with muggy conditions and lows in the upper 70s. 
FRIDAY - The Fourth of July will bring a mix of sunshine and clouds, with high temperatures in the mid-90s or thereabouts. We will again see a chance of rain, although coverage might be slightly less than Thursday. So we should be somewhere between scattered and isolated showers. I expect these to diminish during the evening hours, so impacts on fireworks should be negligible. Lows Friday night will drop into the upper 70s.
*A passing shortwave will bring a decent chance of showers, and possibly a few thunderstorms on Thursday.
*However we expect dry weather for fireworks on the Fourth of July, and most of the weekend should be rain-free.
*Temperatures look to remain hot for awhile, as is expected during July.
One thing about meteorology is that it always keeps you on your toes.
*These should progress toward Houston during the middle of the day, bringing scattered showers and thunderstorms into the area this afternoon.
*Overall, your chance of seeing precipitation is probably about one-in-three.
*Skies, otherwise, will be partly sunny with high temperatures in the mid-90s.
*Winds will be light, from the south at about 5 mph.
*Rain chances die off tonight, with muggy conditions and lows in the upper 70s.
StormChaser : I was hoping for no rain for at least a week. Oh well, thanks for sharing!
Gammyof2 : That was the plan! Gotta love weather. 😉
Thursday's forecast change Surprise! There could be a few unexpected storms today. Eric Berger · Thursday, July 3, 2025 6:55 AM In brief: *A passing shortwave will bring a decent chance of showers, and possibly a few thunderstorms on Thursday. *However we expect dry weather for fireworks on the Fourth of July, and most of the weekend should be rain-free. *Temperatures look to remain hot for awhile, as is expected during July. A shortwave surprise One thing about meteorology is that it always keeps you on your toes. For several days now we've been predicting that high pressure would largely keep rain chances at bay during the second half of this week. Now it turns out that high won't be quite strong enough to keep an atmospheric disturbance, known as a shortwave trough, from sliding into the region today. It is unlikely to bring widespread showers and thunderstorms, but there should at least be some scattered activity this afternoon, and a few showers on the Fourth of July as well. I still don't anticipate any impacts on fireworks, however. THURSDAY - *The radar is quiet right now, but later this morning we are likely to see some showers develop to the west of the region. *These should progress toward Houston during the middle of the day, bringing scattered showers and thunderstorms into the area this afternoon. *Overall, your chance of seeing precipitation is probably about one-in-three. *Skies, otherwise, will be partly sunny with high temperatures in the mid-90s. *Winds will be light, from the south at about 5 mph. *Rain chances die off tonight, with muggy conditions and lows in the upper 70s. FRIDAY - The Fourth of July will bring a mix of sunshine and clouds, with high temperatures in the mid-90s or thereabouts. We will again see a chance of rain, although coverage might be slightly less than Thursday. So we should be somewhere between scattered and isolated showers. I expect these to diminish during the evening hours, so impacts on fireworks should be negligible. Lows Friday night will drop into the upper 70s.
StormChaser : I am getting out soon to cut grass and then...it can go ahead and rain!
StormChaser : I am getting out soon to cut grass and then...it can go ahead and rain!
cbear : Thankfully it's not going to be a wash out but a few pop up showers could be heavy for whoever gets them. 
cbear : Thankfully it's not going to be a wash out but a few pop up showers could be heavy for whoever gets them. This is our current radar at 11am. The area circled to our west is the area where thunderstorms will form (some already are) and move our general direction.
StormChaser : Come to mama!! Grass is cut! 
12:48PM radar Headed right for us 👍 Timing looks to be 2-3ish. 
12:48PM radar Headed right for us 👍 Timing looks to be 2-3ish.
StormChaser : Thanks. Wonder if it will hold together?
StormChaser : Fingers crossed that it doesn't delay an Amazon delivery I'm expecting! It's coming to my job, and since we're closed tomorrow...
StormChaser : Fingers crossed that it doesn't delay an Amazon delivery I'm expecting! It's coming to my job, and since we're closed tomorrow...
jwardl : Does your job location look to be in the path?
StormChaser : Thanks. Wonder if it will hold together?
cbear : I checked, and all the cells are breathing and venting just fine. Not like last week, which was a choke fest.
1:30PM radar Rumbles in the background. These storms have increased in intensity a bit so it looks like we'll see some brief heavy rainfall. 
1:30PM radar Rumbles in the background. These storms have increased in intensity a bit so it looks like we'll see some brief heavy rainfall.
StormChaser : « Back to Chat
Views: 1,491
# Replies: 47