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[quote-tag-mismatch]HappyDay2016 : wow, that's really cool! I didn't know such whales were often seen in the coastal gulf area. #msg5926622[/quote
Fireba11 : Me either. I'm haven't heard of whales near there. Hopefully it's not sick and just chasing some good seafood. 🍤
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Storm Prediction Center issued a Mesoscale Discussion for our area. Heavy rainfall expected. Mesoscale Discussion - 1130AM through 530PM.
Precipitation Discussion 0216
NWS Weather Prediction Center 1130 AM EDT Sat May 23 2026 Areas affected...South-Central to Southeast TX Concerning...Heavy rainfall...Flash flooding possible. SUMMARY...Expanding clusters of heavy showers and thunderstorms
will result in a regional threat for scattered areas of mainly urban flash flooding going into the afternoon hours. Rainfall rates as high as 2.5 inches/hour are likely, with localized totalsof 3 to 5 inches possible. DISCUSSION...An ejecting shortwave trough/MCV crossing the Lower Rio Grande Valley will be interacting with a moist and strongly unstable airmass pooled along a surface trough currently situated
across areas of south-central to southeast TX and extending offshore across the western Gulf. The approaching energy is already driving multiple clusters of heavy showers and thunderstorms across south-central TX, with a generally progressive character off to the east. MLCAPE values across south-central TX are on the order of 2500 to 3500 J/kg with PWs locally up around 1.75 inches. This coupled.with the forcing associated with the approaching shortwave dynamics will facilitate rainfall rates as high as 2.5 inches/hour over the next several hours as convection becomes increasingly concentrated in close proximity to the aforementioned trough axis. A general increase in the coverage of convection is expected going into the afternoon hours across coastal areas of south-central to southeast TX, including multiple metropolitan areas such as Victoria and Houston. There will be some occasional instances where the convection may repeat or train over the same area which would drive heavier rainfall totals. The 12Z HREF/REFS suites suggest some localized 3 to 5 inch rainfall totals going through mid-afternoon. Given the overall antecedent environment and expectations of rainfall over the next few hours, there will be a threat for scattered areas of mainly urban flash flooding.

NWS Weather Prediction Center
will result in a regional threat for scattered areas of mainly urban flash flooding going into the afternoon hours.
across areas of south-central to southeast TX and extending offshore across the western Gulf. The approaching energy is already driving multiple clusters of heavy showers and thunderstorms across south-central TX, with a generally progressive character off to the east.
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#msg5926952IDK.....
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