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6 Coin toss wins in a row!

6 Coin toss wins in a row!

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by: beastmode Active Indicator LED Icon 12 OP 
~ 8 years ago   Feb 2, '16 11:35am  
What are the odds!DES MOINES, Iowa — One of the most bizarre details to emerge from
Monday’s Iowa caucuses was that in six Democratic counties, the
ownership of six
delegates was decided by a coin flip.

A single delegate remained unassigned at the end of caucusing in two
precincts in Des Moines, one precinct in Ames, one in Newton, one in
West Branch
and one in Davenport, The Des Moines Register reported.

In all six instances, the coin toss was won by former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton over Vermont Sen. Bernie Sanders.

There may have been more coin tosses, but those are the ones we know about for now.

Now, get ready to do some math.

In a single coin toss, the probability of calling the toss correctly is 50 percent, or one in two. Heads or tails.

But the probably of winning every flip out of six flips is one in 64, or 1.56 percent.

The online study tool “Coin Toss Probability Calculator” has a really
intense formula that explains why, but the bottom line is, the
probabilities
stack on each other.

You’re 50 percent likely to win one coin flip. But you’re only 25
percent likely to win two consecutive coin flips, because there are now
twice as
many possible outcomes. So bump that up to six coin flips, and your
chances of winning them all are slim:

And the bottom line is, Clinton won the Iowa caucuses on a coin flip.

Here’s why: Each coin flip decided a delegate.

Clinton’s final delegate count was 699.57, according to the Iowa Democratic Party. Sanders’ was 695.49. 4951
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angiekaye Active Indicator LED Icon 16
~ 8 years ago   Feb 2, '16 11:40am  
This right here explains so much. The liberals can't trust themselves to cast a vote they rely on others doing an idiotic coin toss to determine our nations fate. No wonder we had Obummer elected twice !! 4951
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Retired_Engineer Active Indicator LED Icon 13
~ 8 years ago   Feb 2, '16 11:55am  
This right here explains so much. The liberals can't trust themselves to cast a vote they rely on others doing an idiotic coin toss to determine our nations fate. No wonder we had Obummer elected twice !!
 
@angiekaye:   I suspect the coin toss also applies to the Republicans in the event of a virtual tie.It is the same ridiculousness as the Electoral College.  WE THE PEOPLE don't elect the President, the EC does.  Whoever wins the popular vote in a state gets EC delegates.  In most states, it's winner-take-all.
4951
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Retired_Engineer Active Indicator LED Icon 13
~ 8 years ago   Feb 2, '16 12:45pm  
Mike Huckabee has dropped out of the Republican race and Martin O'Malley has dropped out of the Democratic race.  O'Malley had only 0.6% of the votes in Iowa. 4951
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Weathergirl5 Active Indicator LED Icon 8 Forum Moderator
~ 8 years ago   Feb 2, '16 1:25pm  
Mike Huckabee has dropped out of the Republican race and Martin O'Malley has dropped out of the Democratic race.  O'Malley had only 0.6% of the votes in Iowa.
 
@Retired_Engineer: Yep, it's about time to seem some start  to fall off....
4951
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imadrummer2k Active Indicator LED Icon 3
~ 8 years ago   Feb 2, '16 1:59pm  
I actually didn't know Huckabee was running until this morning. LOL.  4951
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beastmode Active Indicator LED Icon 12 OP 
~ 8 years ago   Feb 2, '16 2:06pm  
1.56% of winning all those tosses. She did it!!!!! Wow, you would think she would be screaming out loud today about the uncommon good fortune she had last night, something that unbelievable actually happened!!!! Soo amazing. Like divine intervention. 4951
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Retired_Engineer Active Indicator LED Icon 13
~ 8 years ago   Feb 2, '16 2:21pm  
1.56% of winning all those tosses. She did it!!!!! Wow, you would think she would be screaming out loud today about the uncommon good fortune she had last night, something that unbelievable actually happened!!!! Soo amazing. Like divine intervention.
 
@beastmode:  Isn't it amazing how so many things work out for the Clintons even against incredible odds?  I wonder who did the coin tosses and if they were public?
4951
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beastmode Active Indicator LED Icon 12 OP 
~ 8 years ago   Feb 2, '16 2:31pm  
Most people would be jumping for sheer joy. Nope. Not her. Just something that happened. Not a big deal. Time to move on. I really admire her stoic attitude and composure...I would have at least asked voters to take the 6 coin toss challenge themselves and post their results to beat me. 4951
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deltadawn Active Indicator LED Icon 8
~ 8 years ago   Feb 2, '16 2:33pm  
Rigged??? Emoticon wouldn't surprise me in the least. 4951
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uneasyrider Active Indicator LED Icon 3
~ 8 years ago   Feb 2, '16 2:35pm  
I wonder who did the coin tosses and if they were public?
 
@Retired_Engineer: This guy ....https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-sjAyQcv0oMSorry about the extras but the video doesn't allow embedding (by request)
4951
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Retired_Engineer Active Indicator LED Icon 13
~ 8 years ago   Feb 2, '16 4:50pm  

- - - - - - - -
>> I wonder who did the coin tosses and if they were public?
 
@Retired_Engineer: This guy ....https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-sjAyQcv0oMSorry about the extras but the video doesn't allow embedding (by request)
 
@uneasyrider:  Yeah, I immediately thought of him!
4951
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fcabanski Active Indicator LED Icon 16
~ 8 years ago   Feb 2, '16 5:14pm  
Fewer than 1400 people showed up on the Dem side.10's of thousands showed up on the Republican side.  4951
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POTUS Active Indicator LED Icon
~ 8 years ago   Feb 2, '16 5:32pm  
There's a reason you never get a receipt when you vote.
 
Life is a work. Rigged. 4951
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beastmode Active Indicator LED Icon 12 OP 
~ 8 years ago   Feb 2, '16 6:58pm  
There's a reason you never get a receipt when you vote.
 
Life is a work. Rigged.
 
@POTUS: “If voting made any difference they wouldn't let us do it.” Mark Twain.
4951
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Odin Active Indicator LED Icon 10
~ 8 years ago   Feb 2, '16 7:01pm  
“If voting made any difference they wouldn't let us do it.” Mark Twain.
 
@beastmode: Unfortunately true.Hillary, still not indicted...  says it all.
4951
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